Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 341.817569 387.278681 437.664317 497.846770 568.030839 647.598321 745.063163
2025-10-26 267.317230 325.290343 395.230542 486.591111 603.909634 751.031214 951.915380
2025-11-02 226.628924 288.893611 368.322383 478.522821 629.751298 833.414464 1134.359214
2025-11-09 205.423102 272.087926 361.168867 491.224046 680.200704 951.137611 1380.915919
2025-11-16 184.501102 252.095779 345.911817 488.794227 706.646888 1036.173223 1592.291506
2025-11-23 166.722564 233.949411 330.353606 482.688032 725.034478 1109.631018 1796.400033
2025-11-30 154.228020 221.783637 321.632430 484.941398 755.407286 1204.845184 2052.843441
2025-12-07 141.051322 207.122889 307.344654 476.231911 765.962654 1267.467684 2261.827095
2025-12-14 130.990565 196.174401 297.504791 473.193481 784.992039 1346.585854 2516.054638
2025-12-21 119.114091 181.288251 279.909343 454.984985 774.634733 1370.037609 2663.087233
2025-12-28 115.179355 178.724470 281.999136 470.665864 827.307262 1519.818749 3105.170708
2026-01-04 112.098657 177.229424 285.608800 489.237700 887.619666 1694.051935 3641.836898
2026-01-11 106.234099 170.740154 280.337073 491.455794 917.420291 1812.856794 4085.027779
2026-01-18 98.721027 160.866609 268.318456 479.727825 917.658837 1868.721953 4388.477679
2026-01-25 92.533695 152.817620 258.846037 471.828002 924.650444 1940.524351 4751.944928
2026-02-01 89.747624 150.558155 259.679560 484.317511 976.968823 2126.272848 5480.883404
2026-02-08 85.232504 144.828229 253.544177 481.928013 995.898315 2235.028318 6019.905227
2026-02-15 80.656050 138.657156 246.062780 475.922709 1005.692465 2322.631965 6521.261314
2026-02-22 77.426230 134.759544 242.636435 478.138868 1035.035804 2466.285614 7249.905387
2026-03-01 73.235315 128.764917 234.629807 469.573022 1037.166274 2537.304692 7756.697793
2026-03-08 69.962756 124.317622 229.374512 466.584593 1052.753355 2648.833266 8447.699259
2026-03-15 65.394837 117.086158 217.986804 448.674543 1028.171014 2640.887685 8691.037640
2026-03-22 64.442798 116.879303 220.971703 464.098529 1092.381197 2908.415233 10116.605274